The 6 Ultimate Reasons - Why Do Favourites Lose At Horse Racing

Favourites horses need not win all races. In fact, the chance of winning a race with favourites is one race in three. There are chances that no-hopers (racehorses with no chance of winning) can win the race, even though your preference is favourites. Many punters loose their money by betting on wrong horses. Many bettors are not ready to think beyond 2 minutes, before betting on horses.

Here are 6 reasons why bettors bet on favourites:

• Wrong assumption on fitness of the horses: All horses have a fitness cycle or form cycle. The fitness of the horses are measured based on their recent performances. If you are measuring the fitness of horses that have not been raced for more than 28 days, you are on the wrong way of assuming the fitness of the horses. If the horses show confirmed, potential or improving form, you can bet on those horses. Ultimately, what matters is the performance ratings and the fitness of the horses to the race.

• The last successful attempt of the horse: The horses that made a superb attempt last time may not perform well the next time, if they do not get adequate rest. The situation becomes crucial, when it comes to national hunt horses that race over longer distances and have to jump obstacles. The national hunt horses require more time for relieving than other horses do.

• Mismatch between the pedigree of the horses and the surface or trip: It is important to understand the pedigree or ancestry of the horses before betting on them in class 2-3 year old maiden races. For class 4 and below races, this rule is not applicable, as average horses beat up each other frequently. This rule is helpful in increasing the probability of you winning the race.

• Assessing the class of the horses: Assessing the favourite’s class in the present race with reference to the previous performance helps the punter to increase the chances of winning.

• The competitiveness of the horses: Some horses are equally competitive in form and performance ratings. This makes your betting easy, as you can bet on any horse which has same performance ratings with others.

• Limited suitability of the horses: Betting on favourites is risky, if the race is a testing race and very few horses are matching to the conditions of the race. You can increase the chances of winning by understanding the nature of the race and the suitability of the horse to the race.